A very useful list from Dave Snowden which can be used to describe good tactics for dealing with complex situations: The whole success of social computing is because it conforms to the three heuristics of complex systems: finely grained objects, distributed cognition & disintermediation In an uncertain world we need fast, real time feedbacks not linear processes and criticism includes short cycle experimental processes which remain linear. The real dangers are retrospective coherence and premature convergence Narrative is vital, but story-telling is at best ambiguous Need to shift from thinking about drivers to modulators You can’t eliminate cognitive bias, you …
Another beautiful SUP Sunday afternoon out from Tunstall Bay, into a small headwind and down to Cape Roger Curtis. We are having the most amazing summer, as evidenced by the water restrictions in place and the fire ban. It’s dry and hot – most days the temperature reaches 25 and the ocean is in the low 20s. I like that I practice a water sport that requires me to take a stand. It’s a hell of a way to think about things. There is a lot happening at the Cape. Monster houses are going in there – the biggest is …
It was a beautiful day to SUP today. Checked the wind forecasts and it looked like the west side was a good bet, so I chucked my board on the car and headed for Tunstall Bay. Out on the bay the water was a little windy but I powered into it and headed for the first point, the one I call swimmer’s rock because Sue Schloegl and Sharon Slugget always rest there when they are out swimming. Rounded the point and SHOCK! Right beside the lighthouse at Cape Roger Curtis was a 50 foot barge with a crane …