{"id":5068,"date":"2016-01-07T10:04:48","date_gmt":"2016-01-07T18:04:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.chriscorrigan.com\/parkinglot\/?p=5068"},"modified":"2016-01-07T10:12:49","modified_gmt":"2016-01-07T18:12:49","slug":"the-curse-of-predetermining-outcomes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.chriscorrigan.com\/parkinglot\/the-curse-of-predetermining-outcomes\/","title":{"rendered":"The curse of predetermining outcomes"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_5072\" style=\"width: 250px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.chriscorrigan.com\/parkinglot\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/16031532919_b09380029f_m.jpg?ssl=1\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-5072\" class=\"size-full wp-image-5072\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.chriscorrigan.com\/parkinglot\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/16031532919_b09380029f_m.jpg?resize=240%2C159&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Courtesy WRme2 on flickr\" width=\"240\" height=\"159\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-5072\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Courtesy <a href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/111441268@N03\/\">WRme2 on flickr<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n<p>Entraining your mind to outcomes is the hardest practice to beat as a facilitator working in complexity. \u00a0Whether it is learning, strategy or design, if you are in the complexity domain your attachment to an outcome is highly dangerous. \u00a0It will shape your process, and cause you to harvest only what you are looking for, missing out on the juiciest, most powerful places of potential in a system.<\/p>\n<p>Over the past week I managed to watch the entire 10 part series on the trials of Steven Avery on Netflix called Making a Murderer. \u00a0Regardless of whether you think Avery is guilty or innocent of the murder, the series is a brilliant case study in what happens when we enter processes with our minds made up about the outcomes.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>At one point in the final episode, Avery\u2019s lawyer Dean Strang talks about the fact that people hardly ever set out to frame innocent people. \u00a0Instead what they do is try to find the evidence to prove the guilt of those that they believe are guilty. \u00a0When you believe someone is guilty you will look for evidence that proves that. \u00a0And when you are an investigator that is a completely focused on a single outcome, you are going into the work with the problem already solved, and no amount of contrary evidence will change your mind.<\/p>\n<p>Strang is gracious is labelling this a feature of the human condition: we are built this way. \u00a0And it is that human failing is what makes justice sometimes an unattainable ideal.<br \/>\nMaking A Murderer is an incredible portrait of how the entrained mind works. \u00a0It illuminates a problem we all have to confront when problem solving, harvesting data and dealing with complexity: how do we let go of a pre-conceived outcome so that we can truly learn what\u2019s going on and make decisions based on good information? \u00a0And how do we do that while still holding on to a higher ideal. \u00a0In other words, everyone in the case was motivated by justice (and justice what SHOULD have led everyone in the case), but the evidence that was collected and presented seemed to have motivated by a pre-conceived outcome to the trial.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In the world of practical complexity work there are a number of principles I have been using in harvesting and working with data, many of them informed by Dave Snowden\u2019s work. \u00a0These include:<\/p>\n<p>Gather information with open questions that do not embed assumptions in them (the interrogation of Brendan Dassey is a perfect example of the very opposite of this &#8211; fishing for answers). \u00a0In truly complex situations don&#8217;t ask direct questions, rather ask indirect questions about a person&#8217;s activities so they can&#8217;t game the system (or confirm your bias).<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Work at a very fine level of granularity &#8211; the more data you have the more ambiguous the conclusions will become, which is a good thing if you&#8217;re trying to learn the truth rather than trying to pre-determine an outcome.<\/li>\n<li>Use a diverse group of people to make sense of the data as they see it by looking for patterns in the data and asking questions that can be answered by further sensemaking. \u00a0(The bones were in the firepit? \u00a0How did they get there? \u00a0Where were the people that could have moved them? \u00a0What was happening during the time the body was burning?)<\/li>\n<li>When you discover a pattern check and see if it makes sense by looking for data that supports the pattern AND look for data that refutes the pattern. \u00a0The human brain loves being validated so you have to make a special effort to invite a theory to be disproven.<\/li>\n<li>When you make a decision based on a pattern, lead by doing what you can to move towards the higher ideal, even if the path you choose is not the outcome or the pre-conceived notion you started out with. \u00a0Leading and acting in this way, providing you have worked well with the data, results in BETTER ways to help build just socieities, make good things, improve organizational life or look after children and families.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>These are good practices in and of themselves, and in my experience they also stand out as red flags if I see people engaging in teh OPPOSITE of these activities. \u00a0If we are faced with closed questions, very small numbers of meaning makers, a refusal to hear dissent or a desire simply to see the big picture rather than the minutae, it causes me to explore in more detail the motivations and assumptions that people have. \u00a0And like Dean Strang says, most people are not consciously out to commit an injustice, they are just unconsciously out to prove what they think they already know. \u00a0That\u00a0can have devastating consequences.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Entraining your mind to outcomes is the hardest practice to beat as a facilitator working in complexity. \u00a0Whether it is learning, strategy or design, if you are in the complexity domain your attachment to an outcome is highly dangerous. \u00a0It will shape your process, and cause you to harvest only what you are looking for, missing out on the juiciest, most powerful places of potential in a system. Over the past week I managed to watch the entire 10 part series on the trials of Steven Avery on Netflix called Making a Murderer. \u00a0Regardless of whether you think Avery is &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"The curse of predeterming outcomes http:\/\/wp.me\/piBp1-1jK #aoh #facilitation #harvesting #makingamurderer #strategy #complexity","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false},"categories":[28,22,44,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5068","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-art-of-harvesting","category-collaboration","category-design","category-facilitation"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/piBp1-1jK","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chriscorrigan.com\/parkinglot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5068","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chriscorrigan.com\/parkinglot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chriscorrigan.com\/parkinglot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chriscorrigan.com\/parkinglot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chriscorrigan.com\/parkinglot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5068"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.chriscorrigan.com\/parkinglot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5068\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5074,"href":"https:\/\/www.chriscorrigan.com\/parkinglot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5068\/revisions\/5074"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chriscorrigan.com\/parkinglot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5068"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chriscorrigan.com\/parkinglot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5068"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chriscorrigan.com\/parkinglot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5068"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}